The city of Winston has two large department stores: Namen and Roscoe. Namen is known for its high-end designer fashions, while Roscoe is known for more affordable fashion options. Both Namen and Roscoe are each considering opening another store in the growing suburb of Salem, where the population has grown over 50% in the last three years and where the median income is $75,000. Namen’s executives argue that as population and median income increase, people are willing to spend more money on clothing. However, Roscoe’s executives believe that the suburbs are more family oriented, and therefore their store will be more profitable than their competitor Namen.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The above prompt is about the two large fashion design stores that is Namen, the high end designer, and Roscoe, the affordable fashion designer. The crux of the issue here is which one of these stores if opened in the suburb of Salem will be more profitable. According to the above mentioned argument, Namen's executives claim that their business will be more profitable as there is an increase in population and with it their incomes. Rocoe's executives claim that since the increase in population in that area are mostly family oriented they might be stingy and won't spend much money in clothes, and will choose the more affordable option of the two, which is Rocoe store. The above mentioned arguments and claims are filled with logical fallcies upon which I will shedding light.
Firstly, it is claimed that there is a fifty percent increase in the total population in the last three years. Now, here we do not know if this fifty percent growth in population are rich people who prefer high end designer or of they are a middle class family who prefer to be thrifty. So, even if the poulation rise includes people who sartorical and like spending profliantly, it would mean a loss for Roscoe's store, and their claim wouldn't hold up here. Now, considering the opposite scenario, if the growth in population includes people who have families and they do not want to be spend magnanimously on clothes, that would mean a loss for Namen's store, in which case their claim would be mendacious.
Secondly, the prompt says the median income is $75,000. The median doesn't give us a fair idea about the income of the people in Salem, but the mean income would, and the data for which is not provided for here. The median just tells us about what the one person would earn, but mean will give us what each person earns on an average. Using mean the relative incomes can be determined but it cannot be done with median. In addition, it cannot be said that with increase in population, the median will also increase.
Thirdly, Roscoe's executive claims that people in suburbs are more family oriented, which is why they will be more profitable. Even if that is true, what if the families are loaded or what if they have their family money? What if they were part of a big business dynasty? Then they would obviously like to spend more money on the clothes they wear as they would like to seem extravagent. Hence, this claim is very circumstantial, and cannot ratify the claim made by Roscoe's executive.
In conclusion, its a rickety argument, and falls apart when questioned about the various assumptions which are unwarrented and circumstantial. Therefore, there needs to more proper surveys and data collected for any of the claims to be true and for the predicted result to be true, a lot more research needs to be done.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.5 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 13 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 9 2
No. of Sentences: 21 15
No. of Words: 495 350
No. of Characters: 2272 1500
No. of Different Words: 205 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.717 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.59 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.371 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 140 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 91 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 68 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 37 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 23.571 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.1 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.81 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.294 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.294 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.123 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 766, Rule ID: DID_BASEFORM[1]
Message: The verb 'will' requires the base form of the verb: 'shed'
Suggestion: shed
...with logical fallcies upon which I will shedding light. Firstly, it is claimed that the...
^^^^^^^^
Line 2, column 436, Rule ID: EN_CONTRACTION_SPELLING
Message: Possible spelling mistake found
Suggestion: wouldn't
...loss for Roscoes store, and their claim wouldnt hold up here. Now, considering the oppo...
^^^^^^^
Line 3, column 65, Rule ID: EN_CONTRACTION_SPELLING
Message: Possible spelling mistake found
Suggestion: doesn't
... the median income is 5,000. The median doesnt give us a fair idea about the income of...
^^^^^^
Line 5, column 16, Rule ID: IT_IS[17]
Message: Did you mean 'it's' (='it is') instead of 'its' (possessive pronoun)?
Suggestion: it's; it is
...e by Roscoes executive. In conclusion, its a rickety argument, and falls apart whe...
^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, firstly, hence, if, second, secondly, so, then, therefore, third, thirdly, in addition, in conclusion
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 33.0 19.6327345309 168% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 19.0 12.9520958084 147% => OK
Conjunction : 19.0 11.1786427146 170% => OK
Relative clauses : 21.0 13.6137724551 154% => OK
Pronoun: 37.0 28.8173652695 128% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 55.0 55.5748502994 99% => OK
Nominalization: 10.0 16.3942115768 61% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2321.0 2260.96107784 103% => OK
No of words: 492.0 441.139720559 112% => OK
Chars per words: 4.7174796748 5.12650576532 92% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.70967865282 4.56307096286 103% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.46976812886 2.78398813304 89% => OK
Unique words: 220.0 204.123752495 108% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.447154471545 0.468620217663 95% => OK
syllable_count: 725.4 705.55239521 103% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 10.0 8.76447105788 114% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 8.0 1.67365269461 478% => Less conjunction wanted as sentence beginning.
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 19.7664670659 106% => OK
Sentence length: 23.0 22.8473053892 101% => OK
Sentence length SD: 50.5828612313 57.8364921388 87% => OK
Chars per sentence: 110.523809524 119.503703932 92% => OK
Words per sentence: 23.4285714286 23.324526521 100% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.66666666667 5.70786347227 99% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 4.0 5.25449101796 76% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 12.0 8.20758483034 146% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 5.0 4.67664670659 107% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.176915173922 0.218282227539 81% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0542823807853 0.0743258471296 73% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0698879199456 0.0701772020484 100% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0951571681195 0.128457276422 74% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0563751501182 0.0628817314937 90% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.5 14.3799401198 87% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 56.59 48.3550499002 117% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.1 12.197005988 91% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 10.39 12.5979740519 82% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.63 8.32208582834 92% => OK
difficult_words: 89.0 98.500998004 90% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 14.5 12.3882235529 117% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.2 11.1389221557 101% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 58.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.5 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.