The following advice was given to a politician by his political consultant: "It is true that 200 apartment renters protested in the rain about the elimination of rent control regulation. However, there are 20,000 renters in the entire city. 19,800 of them stayed home and did not protest. The group that did not protest is much larger and better represents the opinion of renters throughout the city that the elimination of rent control is not a problem. You should not let the small protest discourage you."
Describe how well reasoned you find this argument. In the discussion be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument. For example, you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the argument's conclusion. You may also address possible changes in the argument that would make it more logically sound, and what, if anything, would help you better evaluate its conclusion..
This argument states that politician should not think that elimination of rent control is a problem the city as there were only 200 apartment renters from 20 000 on the protest in the rain. This conclusion, based solely on the one evidence, is doubtful because it does not provide any provable statistic information.
Firstly, it is argued that 200 apartment renters took part in the protest, but it is not stated how these quantity were got. Have they counted everybody on that demonstration and have got exactly 200 people, not 201 or 199? There is also no information about people who made the research and what methods did the use, that is why, this number of people taken part in the protest is tenuous.
Secondly, quantity of all renters of the city must be take into account as the political consultant did not give any data about how 20 000 renters were counted. Is it official information and does it consider all market including the shadow market which can be find almost in every city from all over the world? Unfortunately, reliability of this numbers is extremely low.
To sum up, the argument and its conclusion are unwarranted and unsubstantiated because they are not supported by statistics, as a result inferences based on that research could lead to bad consequences.
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argument 1 -- not OK
argument 2 -- not OK
argument 3 -- ??? minimum 3 arguments wanted.
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some correct arguments, like:
1. maybe the day is raining;
2. maybe they will protest later; or next time;
3. maybe people protest by other ways, like: sending emails; by forums; blogs;...
...
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Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: ??? out of 6
Category: Poor Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 9 15
No. of Words: 220 350
No. of Characters: 1044 1500
No. of Different Words: 129 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 3.851 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.745 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.703 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 70 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 56 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 36 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 24 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 24.444 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.002 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.444 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.378 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.665 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.038 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 4 5