The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would…Assumptions:
The author concluded that limiting the number of mopeds rental on Balmer Island will decrease the rate of moped accidents by 50%. He came to this conclusion based on some premises which if true, makes the argument valid. However, as it stands now, there are three unwarranted assumptions in the author’s claim which can impair the cogency of the argument.
Firstly, the author assumes that Balmer Island and Seaville Island are comparable, but this might not be true. The author claims that by emulating Seaville’s strategy in reducing the number of moped rentals will yield the same result in Balmer Island, thereby assuming that the two towns are the same. This is not necessarily the case, as it is possible that Balmer Island is more populous than Seaville, which might make the strategy to yield a result which is different from the Seaville’s. Also, both towns might have completely different road types. Balmer Island may have very bad roads while Seaville Island may have good roads. It is also possible that people in Seaville do not go out much, while Balmer Island residents are very outgoing. If any of the above cases proves true, then the author’s claim is largely weakened.
On the other hand, the author assumes that moped transportation is the only cause of accidents in Balmer Island, while this is possible, it might not necessarily be the same. The author claims that by reducing the number of rentals, there will be a decrease in accidents on the Island. However, there are other factors that might have led to the high accidents rates in Balmer Island besides the moped transportation, but the author ascribes these incidents solely to increased moped transportation. For instance, Balmer Island major roads might not be good enough and may be a big factor contributing to accidents, or the drivers in Balmer Island are very careless, and their carelessness might be the cause of numerous accidents. If any of these are proved true, then the author’s argument does not hold water.
Finally, the author assumes that reducing the number of moped rentals will automatically lead to a decrease in accidents rates, while this seems valid, it may not always be true. The author believes that there is a kind of causal and effect with reducing moped rentals and reducing accidents rates in Balmer Island, but this might be too far-fetched. For instance, it is possible that after the decrease in moped rentals in Balmer Island, there will be some other type of transportation systems which will also lead to more accidents. Likewise, the claim that there will be a decrease in the number of moped rentals does not mean that it will be decreased realistically. It is possible that these rentals companies have incentives to still be giving more mopeds out than they are supposed to do. If any of these cases are true, then the author’s claim is weakened.
In conclusion, the authors argument about that limiting the number of mopeds rental on Balmer Island to decrease the rate of moped accidents by 50% is plausible. However, without properly responding to the above assumptions on his argument, he lacked his persuasiveness.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.0 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 7 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 4 2
No. of Sentences: 22 15
No. of Words: 528 350
No. of Characters: 2552 1500
No. of Different Words: 182 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.794 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.833 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.521 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 180 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 115 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 91 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 43 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 24 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.09 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.864 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.379 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.379 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.126 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 187, Rule ID: IF_IS[2]
Message: Did you mean 'is'?
Suggestion: is
...conclusion based on some premises which if true, makes the argument valid. However...
^^
Line 5, column 20, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'authors'' or 'author's'?
Suggestion: authors'; author's
... claim is weakened. In conclusion, the authors argument about that limiting the number...
^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, besides, but, finally, first, firstly, however, if, likewise, may, so, still, then, while, for instance, in conclusion, kind of, on the other hand
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 34.0 19.6327345309 173% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 21.0 12.9520958084 162% => OK
Conjunction : 9.0 11.1786427146 81% => OK
Relative clauses : 21.0 13.6137724551 154% => OK
Pronoun: 40.0 28.8173652695 139% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 61.0 55.5748502994 110% => OK
Nominalization: 11.0 16.3942115768 67% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2631.0 2260.96107784 116% => OK
No of words: 528.0 441.139720559 120% => OK
Chars per words: 4.98295454545 5.12650576532 97% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.79356345386 4.56307096286 105% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.66014221534 2.78398813304 96% => OK
Unique words: 195.0 204.123752495 96% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.369318181818 0.468620217663 79% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 818.1 705.55239521 116% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 8.0 4.96107784431 161% => OK
Article: 9.0 8.76447105788 103% => OK
Subordination: 8.0 2.70958083832 295% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 5.0 1.67365269461 299% => Less conjunction wanted as sentence beginning.
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 23.0 19.7664670659 116% => OK
Sentence length: 22.0 22.8473053892 96% => OK
Sentence length SD: 47.6854850247 57.8364921388 82% => OK
Chars per sentence: 114.391304348 119.503703932 96% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.9565217391 23.324526521 98% => OK
Discourse Markers: 6.60869565217 5.70786347227 116% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 2.0 5.25449101796 38% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 10.0 8.20758483034 122% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 11.0 6.88822355289 160% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 2.0 4.67664670659 43% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.254521490644 0.218282227539 117% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.099276099958 0.0743258471296 134% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0808744492682 0.0701772020484 115% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.172826609295 0.128457276422 135% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0406271314751 0.0628817314937 65% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.5 14.3799401198 94% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 57.61 48.3550499002 119% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.9 12.5979740519 94% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.51 8.32208582834 90% => OK
difficult_words: 93.0 98.500998004 94% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 10.5 12.3882235529 85% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.8 11.1389221557 97% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.