"One month ago, all the showerheads in the first three buildings of the Sunnyside Towers complex were modified to restrict maximum water flow to one-third of what it used to be. Although actual readings of water usage before and after the adjustment are not yet available, the change will obviously result in a considerable savings for Sunnyside Corporation, since the corporation must pay for water each month. Except for a few complaints about low water pressure, no problems with showers have been reported since the adjustment. I predict that modifying showerheads to restrict water flow throughout all twelve buildings in the Sunnyside Towers complex will increase our profits even more dramatically."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The argument presented by owner of sunshine towers apartment complex referring that modifying the showerheads in the buildings will result increased profit is flawed. This is because, the thorough evaluation of the proposal with data is missing and argument is based on several unconvincing assumptions and generalizations backed by possibly flawed trials.
First, the owner tries to mention that modifying showerheads to restrict maximum water flow to one third will result in water saving, because it was done in three of the buildings. But, how can that support the argument, he also mentions he have no data to proove it. Furthermore, how can showerheads alone contribute to water usage? What is the basis of that assumption? Such assumptions cannot be regarded in decision making without any statististical or survey data about the data of water usage by populace in the apartments.
Secondly, the owner tries to generalize the three buildings to all of the 12 buildings in the complex. But, there is no any point mentioning how these three buildings were selected for the first trial. Are they the representative of general populace? If not, the generalization will not work, as the usage pattern of three apartments even they resulted significant water saving, might be totally different from the rest. Furthermore, the position that since there are major complaints on the three apartments trial will continue to all twelve apartments can be disregarded for same generalization assumptions as above.
Nevertheless, the owner mentions that if the showerheads modification is implemented, it will increase profit dramatically. But, how can a saving in water costs can alone increase profits dramatically? By our common sense, anyone can say that the proportion of contribution of water saving to such huge complex of twelve apartments is mostly mundane. Obviously, it may be significant in tha case of apartments being located near deserts or areas with less water, but such things aren't mentioned anywhere. Only because, corporation has to pay for water every month isn't at all convincing to support this position. So, again this assumption cannot be regarded without further data to support water savings contributes significantly towards profit.
To sum up, the proposal to restrict showerheads to restrict maximum water flow to increase profit dramatically is not reasonable for the flaws mentioned above, and this proposal need further investigations, data and explanations before moving ahead.
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- "One month ago, all the showerheads in the first three buildings of the Sunnyside Towers complex were modified to restrict maximum water flow to one-third of what it used to be. Although actual readings of water usage before and after the adjustment are n 53
Sentence: But, how can that support the argument, he also mentions he have no data to proove it.
Error: proove Suggestion: prove
Sentence: Such assumptions cannot be regarded in decision making without any statististical or survey data about the data of water usage by populace in the apartments.
Error: statististical Suggestion: statistical
Sentence: Obviously, it may be significant in tha case of apartments being located near deserts or areas with less water, but such things aren't mentioned anywhere.
Error: tha Suggestion: that
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argument 1 -- OK. But need to be more specific like: people may use the water time longer.
argument 2 and argument 3 can be put in one argument.
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flaws:
Lost one argument:
'a few complaints about low water pressure, no problems with showers have been reported since the adjustment. '
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Attribute Value Ideal
Score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 3 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 393 350
No. of Characters: 2069 1500
No. of Different Words: 193 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.452 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.265 4.6
Word Length SD: 3.02 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 146 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 118 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 91 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 62 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.684 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.105 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.632 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.31 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.521 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.076 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5