The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The major conclusion from the paragraph is that the limitation of the housing supply, due to the prevention of farmland development, will increase the housing price. However, this conclusion is based on unwarranted assumptions, which should be further investigated before any accurate statement can be made.
First, it is clear in economic formula, price will soar only when the need is much higher than the supply. Therefore, the decrease of the supply doesn’t necessarily lead to the rise of the price, which is a premature assumption that was made from the paragraph. Because it mentions that the limitation of the housing supply will lead to the growth of housing prices. However, it is unclear how much housing is needed in Maple County. It might be possible that it is already an oversupply of the housing in Maple County. As a result, the limitation won’t really create any significant shortage of the supply, which won’t lead to the increase of the housing price. Therefore, more questions about the needs of the housing from Maple County should be further asked before making any conclusion.
Second, it leverages housing price trends from two other nearby counties. However, it is insufficient to make the comparison with such limited info because many factors can cause the change of the housing price. For instance, the demography of these three counties may be totally different, which will result to diverse levels of housing needs and change the housing market as well as the price. Also, people’s priority may differ from 10 or 15 years ago, which again may lead to different needs for the housing market, which harms the credibility of the data from last 10 or 15 years. Last, counties can also impose various policies to regulate the housing price. For instance, heavy tax can be imposed if the housing price is higher than certain level. By increasing the bar of buying pricey houses can further decrease the supply of houses with unreasonable prices. Those factors are not discussed from the paragraph, so the comparison is not valid for evaluating any decision.
In conclusion, wrong assumption of the decrease in housing supply will engender the rise of the housing price weakens the validity of the statement. Furthermore, the inappropriate comparison with two other counties due to insufficient data also makes the conclusion specious.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 390 350
No. of Characters: 1930 1500
No. of Different Words: 172 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.444 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.949 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.593 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 144 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 105 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 68 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 43 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.526 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 6.278 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.789 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.391 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.528 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.117 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 4 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 1, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...re any accurate statement can be made. First, it is clear in economic formula, ...
^^^
Line 3, column 263, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “Because” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
...ption that was made from the paragraph. Because it mentions that the limitation of the ...
^^^^^^^
Line 4, column 1, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...er asked before making any conclusion. Second, it leverages housing price trend...
^^^
Line 6, column 1, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...not valid for evaluating any decision. In conclusion, wrong assumption of the d...
^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, first, furthermore, however, if, may, really, second, so, therefore, well, for instance, in conclusion, as a result, as well as
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 19.0 19.6327345309 97% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 17.0 12.9520958084 131% => OK
Conjunction : 3.0 11.1786427146 27% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 14.0 28.8173652695 49% => OK
Preposition: 48.0 55.5748502994 86% => OK
Nominalization: 11.0 16.3942115768 67% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1992.0 2260.96107784 88% => OK
No of words: 387.0 441.139720559 88% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.14728682171 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.43534841618 4.56307096286 97% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.70716449303 2.78398813304 97% => OK
Unique words: 182.0 204.123752495 89% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.470284237726 0.468620217663 100% => OK
syllable_count: 607.5 705.55239521 86% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 7.0 4.96107784431 141% => OK
Article: 5.0 8.76447105788 57% => OK
Subordination: 2.0 2.70958083832 74% => OK
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 2.0 4.22255489022 47% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 20.0 22.8473053892 88% => OK
Sentence length SD: 35.577000881 57.8364921388 62% => OK
Chars per sentence: 104.842105263 119.503703932 88% => OK
Words per sentence: 20.3684210526 23.324526521 87% => OK
Discourse Markers: 7.0 5.70786347227 123% => OK
Paragraphs: 4.0 5.15768463074 78% => More paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 4.0 5.25449101796 76% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 6.0 8.20758483034 73% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 5.0 6.88822355289 73% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 8.0 4.67664670659 171% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.0809109733152 0.218282227539 37% => The similarity between the topic and the content is low.
Sentence topic coherence: 0.03442954378 0.0743258471296 46% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0420026966298 0.0701772020484 60% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.060422672758 0.128457276422 47% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0108400133992 0.0628817314937 17% => Paragraphs are similar to each other. Some content may get duplicated or it is not exactly right on the topic.
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.0 14.3799401198 90% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 51.18 48.3550499002 106% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.1 12.197005988 91% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.59 12.5979740519 100% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.3 8.32208582834 100% => OK
difficult_words: 90.0 98.500998004 91% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.5 12.3882235529 93% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.0 11.1389221557 90% => OK
text_standard: 13.0 11.9071856287 109% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.