The following appeared as a recommendation by a committee planning a ten-year budget for the city of Calatrava.
"The birthrate in our city is declining: in fact, last year's birthrate was only one-half that of five years ago. Thus the number of students enrolled in our public schools will soon decrease dramatically, and we can safely reduce the funds budgeted for education during the next decade. At the same time, we can reduce funding for athletic playing fields and other recreational facilities. As a result, we will have sufficient money to fund city facilities and programs used primarily by adults, since we can expect the adult population of the city to increase."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The editorial assumes that since lower newborns in the future, Calatrava will save more money on the education and recreation facilities. And then, saved funds could be used to facilitate new programs that are used primarily by adults. Nevertheless, Due to lacking some pieces of evidence, the argument is unfounded.
To begin with, one problem with the argument is that it assumes the lower birthrate applies equally to the lower number of students. Yet, this may not be the case, for a variety of possible reasons. Although the birthrate is decline definitely, perhaps there are still more than one hundred million infants born in Calatrava. As a result, the number of students in the city of Calatrava in the future is still significant. So a piece of evidence that we would need to evaluate the reasoning behind it is information about how many infants were born in Calatrava. Without ruling out such a possibility, the author cannot justifiably conclude that the number of students is small in Calatrava in the future.
Even though the number of the infant is small in the city of Calatrava, we still need another evidence for a reasonable recommendation; The editor’s recommendation depends on the assumption that they can reduce the funds budget for education in the city of Calatrava because of the low number of students in the future. However, a myriad of other factors, including increasing the number of the new infant after two years, or extra added students, might weaken the argument. To be specific, maybe economic recovery will cause increasing the number of infants, or increasing the extra added students because of excessive migration family. Without precluding these and other possible causes, the editor cannot justifiably conclude that they can safely reduce the funds budget for education in the city of Calatrava.
Further, the author’s conclusion that they will have more extra money to facilitate programs used by adults is unwarranted. There is lacking crucial evidence to support the conclusion; Maybe saved money is too low to force new programs. It is entirely possible that the amount of money a new program needs will offset, even outweigh the saved money. Besides, a myriad of other unexpected occurrences, such as unfavorable economic depression, might prevent plans from being as available as the argument predicts.
In sum, the committee must offer the specific pieces of evidence to provide a useful recommendation: how many infants now exactly, the extra evidence that can preclude some other factors, including increasing birthrate after two years or extra added students, and the evidence that predicts accurately saved money and programs expense.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 5 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 3 2
No. of Sentences: 18 15
No. of Words: 433 350
No. of Characters: 2204 1500
No. of Different Words: 189 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.562 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.09 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.675 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 168 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 130 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 95 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 53 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 24.056 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 10.783 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.556 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.338 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.567 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.11 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Transition Words or Phrases used:
besides, however, if, may, nevertheless, so, still, then, such as, as a result, to begin with
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 18.0 19.6327345309 92% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 17.0 12.9520958084 131% => OK
Conjunction : 8.0 11.1786427146 72% => OK
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 21.0 28.8173652695 73% => OK
Preposition: 57.0 55.5748502994 103% => OK
Nominalization: 21.0 16.3942115768 128% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2272.0 2260.96107784 100% => OK
No of words: 433.0 441.139720559 98% => OK
Chars per words: 5.24711316397 5.12650576532 102% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.56165014514 4.56307096286 100% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.81281925617 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 199.0 204.123752495 97% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.459584295612 0.468620217663 98% => OK
syllable_count: 736.2 705.55239521 104% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.7 1.59920159681 106% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 11.0 8.76447105788 126% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 4.0 1.67365269461 239% => Less conjunction wanted as sentence beginning.
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 18.0 19.7664670659 91% => OK
Sentence length: 24.0 22.8473053892 105% => OK
Sentence length SD: 69.499111816 57.8364921388 120% => OK
Chars per sentence: 126.222222222 119.503703932 106% => OK
Words per sentence: 24.0555555556 23.324526521 103% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.16666666667 5.70786347227 91% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 0.0 5.25449101796 0% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.20758483034 110% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 6.0 6.88822355289 87% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.177136755688 0.218282227539 81% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0535219440876 0.0743258471296 72% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0588986368282 0.0701772020484 84% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.087579388613 0.128457276422 68% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0705317261729 0.0628817314937 112% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 15.3 14.3799401198 106% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 38.66 48.3550499002 80% => OK
smog_index: 11.2 7.1628742515 156% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 13.8 12.197005988 113% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 13.47 12.5979740519 107% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.73 8.32208582834 105% => OK
difficult_words: 107.0 98.500998004 109% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 8.5 12.3882235529 69% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.6 11.1389221557 104% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.