"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The author concludes that he or she would recommend investment in Consolidate Industries because of increasing demand according to reasons mentioned in the argument. However, some musing over evidence is first very much in order before taking any steps.
First of all, the writer suggests that climate forecasters predict the cold weather pattern will continue for several more years. Still, the credential of evidence regarding the capability of the weather reporter is not presented and we don't know if the report has the capability to make weather prediction or not. It is possible that he just graduate from university as a freshman in broadcast field and this is his first time to present future weather trend. If the case is true, then the argument is barely to claim the credibility of the increasing demand of the oil in the future and the investment would be risky.
Secondly, the author claims that people in northeastern United State conventionally use oil as main fuel for heating. Nevertheless, the future trend of heating energy source is not offered. It is possible that the electricity become more and more popular as a major energy source to heat home instead of oil because the heating electronics are getting more and more efficient than oil and it costs less compared to oil. If it is true, then the oil investment is barely to claim its expected performance. Therefore, the author is recommended to offer the future contribution of the electricity heating possibility and to compare with that of oil.
Finally, the writer proposes that many new houses are being built in the region in response to population growth. It seems to imply that the heating demand would increase. Still, the loss of population of the region is unknown and needs to be presented. Perhaps, there are more people leaving the region even there is population growth. The overall population decreases rather than increases considering more population loss because the neighbor city offers jobs with higher salary. If it is true, then the demand of the heating energy will drop and the persuasiveness of the argument is weakened. Thus, the author must provide the detailed of population gain and loss to make the argument more cogent.
In conclusion, the readers could not believe in the content of the argument unless the evidence mentioned is offered.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-15 | Ifthekhar | 53 | view |
| 2023-07-23 | shubham1102 | 58 | view |
| 2023-02-16 | Sayaka | 78 | view |
| 2023-01-11 | jimHsu | 50 | view |
| 2022-09-29 | KnockingOn | 83 | view |
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 389 350
No. of Characters: 1920 1500
No. of Different Words: 186 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.441 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.936 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.69 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 147 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 105 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 70 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 46 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.474 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.444 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.737 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.311 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.311 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.078 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 237, Rule ID: EN_CONTRACTION_SPELLING
Message: Possible spelling mistake found
Suggestion: don't
...eather reporter is not presented and we dont know if the report has the capability t...
^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
but, finally, first, however, if, nevertheless, regarding, second, secondly, so, still, then, therefore, thus, in conclusion, first of all, it is true
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 22.0 19.6327345309 112% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 7.0 12.9520958084 54% => OK
Conjunction : 12.0 11.1786427146 107% => OK
Relative clauses : 8.0 13.6137724551 59% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 21.0 28.8173652695 73% => OK
Preposition: 46.0 55.5748502994 83% => OK
Nominalization: 20.0 16.3942115768 122% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1963.0 2260.96107784 87% => OK
No of words: 388.0 441.139720559 88% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.05927835052 5.12650576532 99% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.43821085614 4.56307096286 97% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.74075974915 2.78398813304 98% => OK
Unique words: 186.0 204.123752495 91% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.479381443299 0.468620217663 102% => OK
syllable_count: 624.6 705.55239521 89% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 11.0 8.76447105788 126% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 20.0 22.8473053892 88% => OK
Sentence length SD: 41.8500819937 57.8364921388 72% => OK
Chars per sentence: 103.315789474 119.503703932 86% => OK
Words per sentence: 20.4210526316 23.324526521 88% => OK
Discourse Markers: 7.89473684211 5.70786347227 138% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 1.0 5.25449101796 19% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 6.88822355289 102% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 4.0 4.67664670659 86% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.162845997317 0.218282227539 75% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.049227540533 0.0743258471296 66% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0532540099505 0.0701772020484 76% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0687170468231 0.128457276422 53% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0772796990183 0.0628817314937 123% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.6 14.3799401198 88% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 51.18 48.3550499002 106% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.1 12.197005988 91% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.07 12.5979740519 96% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.76 8.32208582834 93% => OK
difficult_words: 77.0 98.500998004 78% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.0 11.1389221557 90% => OK
text_standard: 13.0 11.9071856287 109% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.