The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client.
"Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced 90 days with below-average temperatures, and climate forecasters at Waymarsh University predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because these developments will certainly result in an increased demand for heating oil, we recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The letter, according to some shaky and vague pieces of evidence, has purposed that there should be an investment in Consolidated Industries until they sell the heating oil to the homes. This proposal cannot be accepted as it stands since it relies on the series of dubious clues all of which are questionable. The following paragraphs will list the crucial questions which cast doubt on the validity of this letter.
The first notable question which should be responded accurately is that what percentage of heating fuel of homes in the northeastern United States is the oil? The vague term of major cannot rear that oil is the fundament of heating fuel in this region. There is the possibility that oil is purchased by most of the homes, but the amount of its consumption as the heating source is few, and people uses mostly the wood instead of the oil. In this scenario relying on the ambiguous term of major cannot be a wise option to invest the huge amount of money on the oil retail sale.
Another query which should be answered logically is that how accurate and precise are the prediction which is done by the Waymarsh University? Since it is a university, there is a feasibility that the foresight is done by the group of students who for the sake of their naive understanding are more prone to do mistakes in their prediction. This referred prediction should be verified by an official organization until it could be considered as a reliable source for further decision making. Otherwise, if the weather condition were not as severe as anticipated by the university, the extra investment would be a monetary loss.
Even the two aforesaid questions were addressed properly; there is another issue with the letter which is questionable. The doubtful issue is that what is the novel home's insulation heating system? As asserted in the letter, currently the new homes have been constructed to be occupied by a growing population. The author does not discuss the heating system of these new houses. For instance, maybe the new constructions have implemented the geothermal system in the houses; consequently, there is no high demand for the oil as the heating source. Or the current buildings have a better insulation system which prevents the heat loss of buildings and there is no requirement for oil to heat the spaces.
To wrap it up, all the aforementioned questions explicitly depict that this letter its purposed idea cannot be accepted. The author should provide cogent evidence about the amount of oil consumption in the houses until illustrate there is massive demand to the oil as a heating source; besides, there should be concrete verification for the prediction done by the university. Finally, the heating system and insulation of the new houses require oil as the heating fuel.
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Comments
Essay evaluation report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.0 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 20 15
No. of Words: 472 350
No. of Characters: 2288 1500
No. of Different Words: 213 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.661 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.847 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.733 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 168 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 114 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 86 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 58 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 23.6 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.552 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.3 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.323 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.547 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.077 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 160, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
... northeastern United States is the oil? The vague term of major cannot rear that oi...
^^^
Line 7, column 166, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'homes'' or 'home's'?
Suggestion: homes'; home's
...oubtful issue is that what is the novel homes insulation heating system? As asserted ...
^^^^^
Line 7, column 499, Rule ID: NOW[2]
Message: Did you mean 'now' (=at this moment) instead of 'no' (negation)?
Suggestion: now
...m in the houses; consequently, there is no high demand for the oil as the heating ...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
besides, but, consequently, finally, first, if, may, so, for instance, by the way
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 35.0 19.6327345309 178% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 13.0 12.9520958084 100% => OK
Conjunction : 7.0 11.1786427146 63% => OK
Relative clauses : 16.0 13.6137724551 118% => OK
Pronoun: 25.0 28.8173652695 87% => OK
Preposition: 54.0 55.5748502994 97% => OK
Nominalization: 21.0 16.3942115768 128% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2335.0 2260.96107784 103% => OK
No of words: 472.0 441.139720559 107% => OK
Chars per words: 4.94703389831 5.12650576532 96% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.6610686524 4.56307096286 102% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.80288122654 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 220.0 204.123752495 108% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.466101694915 0.468620217663 99% => OK
syllable_count: 738.0 705.55239521 105% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 2.0 4.96107784431 40% => OK
Article: 9.0 8.76447105788 103% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 4.0 4.22255489022 95% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 20.0 19.7664670659 101% => OK
Sentence length: 23.0 22.8473053892 101% => OK
Sentence length SD: 43.9077157229 57.8364921388 76% => OK
Chars per sentence: 116.75 119.503703932 98% => OK
Words per sentence: 23.6 23.324526521 101% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.05 5.70786347227 71% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 2.0 8.20758483034 24% => More positive sentences wanted.
Sentences with negative sentiment : 13.0 6.88822355289 189% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 5.0 4.67664670659 107% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.142978683516 0.218282227539 66% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.048763050907 0.0743258471296 66% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0346269391604 0.0701772020484 49% => Sentences are similar to each other.
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.085633188941 0.128457276422 67% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0332660209505 0.0628817314937 53% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.7 14.3799401198 95% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 48.13 48.3550499002 100% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 12.3 12.197005988 101% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.73 12.5979740519 93% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.66 8.32208582834 104% => OK
difficult_words: 116.0 98.500998004 118% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.2 11.1389221557 101% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 58.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.5 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.