The following recommendation appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of Hopewell.
"Two years ago, the nearby town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. Therefore, the best way to improve Hopewell's economy—and generate additional tax revenues—is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
The mayor of Hopewell points out that building a golf course and resort hotel is the best way to escalate Hopewell’s economy and generate extra tax revenues. To buttress his recommendation, he cites the experience of the nearby town where a new golf course and resort hotel was built. The argument seems to be plausible at first glance, but it reveals several logical flaws, as they are based on some precarious assumptions.
To begin with, the mayor made an assumption that the increasing tourism in Ocean View in the past two years was solely attributed to the newly built golf course and resort hotel. However, it is entirely possible that the town has imposed other government policies to spur tourism, such as renovating(reconstruct) public attractions, improving sanitary conditions of restaurants and streets, etc. Without detailed investigation regarding the government policies enacted in the past two years, the assumption that the new golf course and resort hotel in Ocean View have boosted the development of tourism can not be justified.
Secondly, the mayor tries to correlate the construction of a golf course and resort hotel with a raise in tax revenues, which have experienced a 30 percent increase in the past two years. However, 30 percent might seem to be a large increase, but it is entirely possible that the original tax revenues are very low and a 30 percent increase does not make any difference to the overall figure. Thus, unless the mayor presents detailed information regarding the tax revenues two years ago, his attempt to relate tax revenues’ increase with the new golf course and hotel is unreasonable.
Finally, the mayor also premises the situations of the two towns are similar in all respects and the policy which was implemented in Ocean View can succeed in Hopewell as well. However, as the construction of a golf course and resort hotel requires plenty of funds, Hopewell may not have sufficient financial budget to build such facilities, and thereby the assumption that Hopewell can translate the success in Ocean View is unwarranted.
In sum, the assumptions made by the mayor certainly undermine the credibility of the recommendation, which is to build a golf course and hotel, to boost the economy in Hopewell. To bolster his recommendation, more detailed investigations and information, such as government policies imposed in Ocean View in the past two years, tax revenues conditions, etc, should be provided.
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Discourse Markers used:
['also', 'but', 'finally', 'first', 'however', 'if', 'may', 'regarding', 'second', 'secondly', 'so', 'thus', 'well', 'such as', 'to begin with']
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance in Part of Speech:
Nouns: 0.295302013423 0.25644967241 115% => OK
Verbs: 0.143176733781 0.15541462614 92% => OK
Adjectives: 0.0805369127517 0.0836205057962 96% => OK
Adverbs: 0.0447427293065 0.0520304965353 86% => OK
Pronouns: 0.0178970917226 0.0272364105082 66% => OK
Prepositions: 0.0917225950783 0.125424944231 73% => OK
Participles: 0.0402684563758 0.0416121511921 97% => OK
Conjunctions: 3.06063718856 2.79052419416 110% => OK
Infinitives: 0.0313199105145 0.026700313972 117% => OK
Particles: 0.00223713646532 0.001811407834 124% => OK
Determiners: 0.109619686801 0.113004496875 97% => OK
Modal_auxiliary: 0.0134228187919 0.0255425247493 53% => OK
WH_determiners: 0.0089485458613 0.0127820249294 70% => OK
Vocabulary words and sentences:
No of characters: 2471.0 2731.13054187 90% => OK
No of words: 400.0 446.07635468 90% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 6.1775 6.12365571057 101% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.472135955 4.57801047555 98% => OK
words length more than 5 chars: 0.3675 0.378187486979 97% => OK
words length more than 6 chars: 0.2875 0.287650121315 100% => OK
words length more than 7 chars: 0.2275 0.208842608468 109% => OK
words length more than 8 chars: 0.135 0.135150697306 100% => OK
Word Length SD: 3.06063718856 2.79052419416 110% => OK
Unique words: 186.0 207.018472906 90% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.465 0.469332199767 99% => OK
Word variations: 49.8167335332 52.1807786196 95% => OK
How many sentences: 13.0 20.039408867 65% => OK
Sentence length: 30.7692307692 23.2022227129 133% => OK
Sentence length SD: 34.3425142356 57.7814097925 59% => OK
Chars per sentence: 190.076923077 141.986410481 134% => OK
Words per sentence: 30.7692307692 23.2022227129 133% => OK
Discourse Markers: 1.15384615385 0.724660767414 159% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.14285714286 97% => OK
Language errors: 0.0 3.58251231527 0% => OK
Readability: 59.5192307692 51.9672348444 115% => OK
Elegance: 2.07608695652 1.8405768891 113% => OK
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.619527341628 0.441005458295 140% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence: 0.175593496584 0.135418324435 130% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence SD: 0.0964703011849 0.0829849096947 116% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence: 0.70701337972 0.58762219726 120% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence SD: 0.111270644134 0.147661913831 75% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.331061066307 0.193483328276 171% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.14454784599 0.0970749176394 149% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence: 0.459762572899 0.42659136922 108% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence SD: 0.0604740922994 0.0774707102158 78% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.458170168117 0.312017818177 147% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0806137979283 0.0698173142475 115% => OK
Task Achievement:
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.33743842365 108% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 2.0 6.87684729064 29% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 2.0 4.82512315271 41% => OK
Positive topic words: 9.0 6.46551724138 139% => OK
Negative topic words: 1.0 5.36822660099 19% => More negative topic words wanted.
Neutral topic words: 2.0 2.82389162562 71% => OK
Total topic words: 12.0 14.657635468 82% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
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Rates: 70.83 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.25 Out of 6 -- The score is based on the average performance of 20,000 argument essays. This e-grader is not smart enough to check on arguments.
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Note: This is not the final score. The e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.