"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
The argument recommends that people lived in northeastern United States can invest consolidated industries because of the demand of home heating oil. However, this argument rests on many unsubstantiated assumptions which need to explain.
The memo states that climate forecasters believe that the cold weather pattern will continue for several years. It may be true that climate forecasters can predict the weather. However, the author does not reveal enough background information of climate forecasters to readers. For instance, if these climate forecasters were done by college students, its credibility would be low, since they probably did not have precision instrument to do research and they might not have skill and experiences to face the problem. We need to know what kind of research method they used and how they did the research.
Even if the weather is getting cold in the future, the demand for heating oil may not rise as the author thought. People lived in there have lots of alternative methods to keep themselves warm. For example, they can buy the modern machine, such as new electric heater, or they can just stay at home and put on more clothes.
The author says that many new homes are built now because of the recent population growth, and the demand for heating oil will have a beneficial effect from this trend. A supposition here is that these people will live in this region for several years. However, it is possible that people will move to other cities or countries if they have their own problems, such as bankruptcy. In addition, another possibility is that the new houses owners may just want to keep their money in the property market and do not want to sell them.
Even if demand for heating oil is rising, it does not follow that we should invest in consolidated industries which major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil. Since lots of people knew the weather is going to be colder than before, including the retail companies of heating oil, investment companies, and individual investors, they might have already bought the stocks before. Therefore, people would not have opportunities to make the profit from this trend.
To sum up, this argument depends on several critical but unproven assumptions that need to be addressed by the author.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-15 | Ifthekhar | 53 | view |
| 2023-07-23 | shubham1102 | 58 | view |
| 2023-02-16 | Sayaka | 78 | view |
| 2023-01-11 | jimHsu | 50 | view |
| 2022-09-29 | KnockingOn | 83 | view |
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Comments
Essay evaluation report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 18 15
No. of Words: 385 350
No. of Characters: 1876 1500
No. of Different Words: 198 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.43 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.873 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.547 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 137 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 93 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 55 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 37 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 21.389 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.049 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.667 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.308 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.582 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.086 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 6 5
Transition Words or Phrases used:
but, however, if, may, so, therefore, for example, for instance, in addition, kind of, such as, to sum up
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 13.0 19.6327345309 66% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 19.0 12.9520958084 147% => OK
Conjunction : 10.0 11.1786427146 89% => OK
Relative clauses : 12.0 13.6137724551 88% => OK
Pronoun: 35.0 28.8173652695 121% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 42.0 55.5748502994 76% => OK
Nominalization: 10.0 16.3942115768 61% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1947.0 2260.96107784 86% => OK
No of words: 385.0 441.139720559 87% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.05714285714 5.12650576532 99% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.4296068528 4.56307096286 97% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.61697044745 2.78398813304 94% => OK
Unique words: 195.0 204.123752495 96% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.506493506494 0.468620217663 108% => OK
syllable_count: 585.9 705.55239521 83% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 9.0 4.96107784431 181% => OK
Article: 6.0 8.76447105788 68% => OK
Subordination: 5.0 2.70958083832 185% => OK
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 4.0 4.22255489022 95% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 18.0 19.7664670659 91% => OK
Sentence length: 21.0 22.8473053892 92% => OK
Sentence length SD: 47.7677315019 57.8364921388 83% => OK
Chars per sentence: 108.166666667 119.503703932 91% => OK
Words per sentence: 21.3888888889 23.324526521 92% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.83333333333 5.70786347227 102% => OK
Paragraphs: 6.0 5.15768463074 116% => OK
Language errors: 0.0 5.25449101796 0% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 6.0 8.20758483034 73% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 6.0 6.88822355289 87% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 6.0 4.67664670659 128% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.188226034988 0.218282227539 86% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0617398029418 0.0743258471296 83% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0421738143946 0.0701772020484 60% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.091922485474 0.128457276422 72% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0431209793349 0.0628817314937 69% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.1 14.3799401198 91% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 58.62 48.3550499002 121% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.3 12.197005988 84% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.07 12.5979740519 96% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.04 8.32208582834 97% => OK
difficult_words: 82.0 98.500998004 83% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 8.5 12.3882235529 69% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.4 11.1389221557 93% => OK
text_standard: 9.0 11.9071856287 76% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 58.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.5 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.