"Several factors indicate that KNOW radio can no longer succeed as a rock-and-roll music station. Consider, for example, that the number of people in our listening area over fifty years of age has increased dramatically, while our total number of listeners has declined. Also, music stores in our area report decreased sales of rock-and-roll music. Finally, continuous news stations in neighboring cities have been very successful. We predict that switching KNOW radio from rock-and-roll music to 24-hour news will allow the station to attract older listeners and make KNOW radio more profitable than ever."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The general manager of KNOW radio station claims the radio station should switch from rock-an-roll music to 24-hour news to attract older listeners and secure KNOW radio’s future. Although the supports which the manager has given seems ostensibly logical, there are several logical fallacies and misconstrue when it is examined profoundly.
There is insufficient data of the proportion of the people who is older that fifty years old. At the memorandum, it is only described as people over fifty years of age has increased dramatically. In the view of not knowing the precise amount of increase, it is plausible to be suspicious about whether the term “dramatically” was used subjectively. Also, even though the population did increased dramatically, if the initial quantity was low, the consequent of percentage would be negligible. For example, the total number of listeners has declined from ten million to nine million, and the number of over fifty years of age increased from a hundred to ten hundred, it is true that it increased dramatically, but still the proportion of it is very low. To clarify the contention, the manager must give an exact quantity of increased percentage of the people over fifty and its initial percentage.
Second, the relation between the decrease of recorded music sales and securing the radio station’s future is irrelevant. To make the phenomenon and claim relevant, two implicated assumption should be shown as true. First, the reduction of recorded music sales is due to decreased population of people who are interested in listening to music and spending money on it. It is possible that people still love listening to music and are willing to spend the money on it. However, they started using their expenses on other music services such as streaming, so they stop going to such shop. The manager must exclude the possibility of different reasons why the sales of recorded music declined. Second, people who used to spend money on recorded music will also stop listening to music from the radio. It may be true people stop using their money on music industry. However, the cause could be general economic decline, but because of decreased interest on music. To authenticate the assessment, the manager must provide precise explanation about the assumptions that was not appeared in a memorandum.
Also, the situation between the radio station of neighboring cities and KNOW radio may show low similarity. If the cities which continuous news stations have been very successful has high proportion on 20s and low proportion on over 50s, the increase of 50s actually shows that the successive news programs should be unrecommended. The manager must should promulgate whether other factors such as the age distribution of the people in their listening area are well excluded to validate one’s proclaim.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-30 | jrohan | 74 | view |
| 2022-10-10 | Azizul Zahid | 60 | view |
| 2022-10-10 | Azizul Zahid | 60 | view |
| 2022-08-24 | Sujan Adhikari | 60 | view |
| 2022-07-22 | alli4chi | 73 | view |
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 21 15
No. of Words: 461 350
No. of Characters: 2330 1500
No. of Different Words: 207 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.634 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.054 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.719 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 162 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 137 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 95 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 64 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 21.952 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.749 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.571 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.309 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.309 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.075 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 387, Rule ID: DID_BASEFORM[1]
Message: The verb 'did' requires the base form of the verb: 'increase'
Suggestion: increase
...y. Also, even though the population did increased dramatically, if the initial quantity w...
^^^^^^^^^
Line 3, column 180, Rule ID: CD_NN[1]
Message: Possible agreement error. The noun 'assumption' seems to be countable, so consider using: 'assumptions'.
Suggestion: assumptions
...enon and claim relevant, two implicated assumption should be shown as true. First, the red...
^^^^^^^^^^
Line 4, column 487, Rule ID: APOSTROPHE_PLURAL[1]
Message: Consider using the plural form here: 'ones'.
Suggestion: ones
...ning area are well excluded to validate one’s proclaim.
^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
actually, also, but, first, however, if, may, second, so, still, then, well, for example, such as, it is true
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 24.0 19.6327345309 122% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 13.0 12.9520958084 100% => OK
Conjunction : 12.0 11.1786427146 107% => OK
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 21.0 28.8173652695 73% => OK
Preposition: 63.0 55.5748502994 113% => OK
Nominalization: 17.0 16.3942115768 104% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2395.0 2260.96107784 106% => OK
No of words: 461.0 441.139720559 105% => OK
Chars per words: 5.19522776573 5.12650576532 101% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.63367139033 4.56307096286 102% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.86807437522 2.78398813304 103% => OK
Unique words: 218.0 204.123752495 107% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.472885032538 0.468620217663 101% => OK
syllable_count: 750.6 705.55239521 106% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 12.0 8.76447105788 137% => OK
Subordination: 4.0 2.70958083832 148% => OK
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 19.7664670659 106% => OK
Sentence length: 21.0 22.8473053892 92% => OK
Sentence length SD: 45.6452355492 57.8364921388 79% => OK
Chars per sentence: 114.047619048 119.503703932 95% => OK
Words per sentence: 21.9523809524 23.324526521 94% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.19047619048 5.70786347227 91% => OK
Paragraphs: 4.0 5.15768463074 78% => More paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 13.0 8.20758483034 158% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 5.0 6.88822355289 73% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.29034225923 0.218282227539 133% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0825342606047 0.0743258471296 111% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0662224126759 0.0701772020484 94% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.1714885479 0.128457276422 133% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.045629058275 0.0628817314937 73% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 14.0 14.3799401198 97% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 50.16 48.3550499002 104% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.5 12.197005988 94% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.88 12.5979740519 102% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.34 8.32208582834 100% => OK
difficult_words: 107.0 98.500998004 109% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.4 11.1389221557 93% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.