The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The maple county council believes that if a measure is passed to limit the development of farmland it will send housing prices soaring.
The argument here asserts thatby limiting the supply of land for housing through law the demand will remain constant and prices will go up, howevr there is a fundamental flaw in this reasoning because demand for housing as shown throught history follows areas of development so If development is stifled then people will migrate less to such an environmenr and invariably demand fo housing in that area will drop hereby causing prices to remain constant or even dro in some extreme cases.
Furthermore from the data gathered from boh the proponents and opposition it can be seen that this policy enacted 15 years ago in a rural farm county led to a very significant change in price and 5 years after in another similar county it only led to modest price increases, this can be explained by the fact that the economic activity and demand for housing is moving away gradually from rural areas to the more urban areas. If this trend is to be considerd the rise in price will be even more modest in maple county if present at all.
The argument makes a final assertion which tries to draw inferences from counties which are not the same as the three counties in the argument do not have the same exact geographical characteristcs and the people present do not have the same culture and value systems. So the demand for housing in both areas which is affectd by geographical location, weather conditions, proximity to big cities or holiday areas and a plethora of other characteristics will not be affected in the same way.
In conclusion it is evident that the county council cannot draw inferences from the data it has and the argument does not have strong backing because the ideas are anachronistic, and the characteristics of the three counties are not the same. To strengthen the argument the council should provide more recent data and provide data from a nearby county with similar geographical, human and economic characteristucs.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 3 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 12 2
No. of Sentences: 8 15
No. of Words: 354 350
No. of Characters: 1700 1500
No. of Different Words: 174 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.338 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.802 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.678 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 121 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 87 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 51 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 30 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 44.25 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 21.902 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.75 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.431 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.431 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.101 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 438, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
... area will drop hereby causing prices to remain constant or even dro in some extr...
^^
Line 3, column 1, Rule ID: SENT_START_CONJUNCTIVE_LINKING_ADVERB_COMMA[1]
Message: Did you forget a comma after a conjunctive/linking adverb?
Suggestion: Furthermore,
...nt or even dro in some extreme cases. Furthermore from the data gathered from boh the pro...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 3, column 186, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...unty led to a very significant change in price and 5 years after in another simil...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
furthermore, if, so, then, as to, in conclusion, in the same way
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 15.0 19.6327345309 76% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 11.0 12.9520958084 85% => OK
Conjunction : 14.0 11.1786427146 125% => OK
Relative clauses : 8.0 13.6137724551 59% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 14.0 28.8173652695 49% => OK
Preposition: 40.0 55.5748502994 72% => OK
Nominalization: 11.0 16.3942115768 67% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1724.0 2260.96107784 76% => OK
No of words: 354.0 441.139720559 80% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 4.87005649718 5.12650576532 95% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.33761313653 4.56307096286 95% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.72213216268 2.78398813304 98% => OK
Unique words: 172.0 204.123752495 84% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.485875706215 0.468620217663 104% => OK
syllable_count: 547.2 705.55239521 78% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 1.0 4.96107784431 20% => OK
Article: 3.0 8.76447105788 34% => OK
Subordination: 1.0 2.70958083832 37% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 2.0 4.22255489022 47% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 8.0 19.7664670659 40% => Need more sentences. Double check the format of sentences, make sure there is a space between two sentences, or have enough periods. And also check the lengths of sentences, maybe they are too long.
Sentence length: 44.0 22.8473053892 193% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively long.
Sentence length SD: 126.447370475 57.8364921388 219% => The lengths of sentences changed so frequently.
Chars per sentence: 215.5 119.503703932 180% => OK
Words per sentence: 44.25 23.324526521 190% => OK
Discourse Markers: 8.0 5.70786347227 140% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 2.0 8.20758483034 24% => More positive sentences wanted.
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 2.0 4.67664670659 43% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.182303524277 0.218282227539 84% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.109737773166 0.0743258471296 148% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0917220409615 0.0701772020484 131% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.136303845486 0.128457276422 106% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.101693459693 0.0628817314937 162% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 23.6 14.3799401198 164% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 35.28 48.3550499002 73% => OK
smog_index: 11.2 7.1628742515 156% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 19.3 12.197005988 158% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.85 12.5979740519 94% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 9.25 8.32208582834 111% => OK
difficult_words: 77.0 98.500998004 78% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 28.5 12.3882235529 230% => Linsear_write_formula is high.
gunning_fog: 19.6 11.1389221557 176% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.