The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client.
"Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced 90 days with below-average temperatures, and climate forecasters at Waymarsh University predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because these developments will certainly result in an increased demand for heating oil, we recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
In the letter from an investment advisor, it is suggested to invest more in industries associated with retail sales of home heating oil. The author came to this conclusion based on prediction made by the climate forecasters at Waymarsh University that the cold weather patterns will continue for several more years and the increase of new homes in that area. However, before this recommendation can be evaluated, three questions must be answered.
First of all, what is the guarantee that people will continue to keep using oil as fuel for heating? With the booming technology, people might start shifting from heater that use oil to heaters requiring electricity. Certainly, technology advancements has made the price of electricity much cheaper than oil. It is possible that within the next year, most people in the northeastern United States will start shifting to electrical heaters when they see no change in weather patterns as continuing to use oil for heaters might be financially detrimental for them. If the above argument comes true, then the authors suggestion will hold no water.
Secondly, what is the guarantee that people who are building new homes in that region as stated by the author is actually staying in those area throughout the year. Perhaps, people are more inclined to visiting such cold areas during their vacation and they are only building new homes for residency during vacation. If this assumption is true, then the new homes being built will not increase the consumption of oil for heaters by much thus weakening the suggestion from the author.
Lastly, was there any study conducted on how many people are leaving the area and shifting to areas where the weather is more favorable. Due to the weather being egregiously cold, perhaps people will find it more convenient to shift to a warmer region than stay in the cold region. Since studies from climate forecasters suggest that this cold weather pattern will continue in the north eastern United States for several more years , people have started planning on moving to warmer regions , thus decreasing the consumption of oils more. If this assumption is tenable, the original argument of the author will be weakened further.
In conclusion, the argument stated by the author is flawed due to its dependence on many unwarranted assumptions. If the author is able to provide answers to the questions stated above and offer more evidence towards his assumptions, his/her argument will be strengthened.
- Laws should be flexible enough to take account of various circumstances times and places Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the statement and explain your reasoning for the position you take In developing 50
- The maps below show the centre of a small town called Islip as it is now and plans for its development 80
- Some parents buy their children a large number of toys to play with What are the advantages and disadvantages for the child of having a large number of toys 73
- The pie graphs below show the results of a survey of children s activities The first graph shows the cultural and leisure activities that boys participate in whereas the second graph shows the activities in which girls participate 67
- Countries are becoming more and more similar because people are able to buy the same products anywhere in the world Do you think this is a positive or negative development 56
Comments
Essay evaluations by e-grader
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 247, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...imate forecasters at Waymarsh University that the cold weather patterns will cont...
^^
Line 3, column 607, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'authors'' or 'author's'?
Suggestion: authors'; author's
...the above argument comes true, then the authors suggestion will hold no water. Secon...
^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 134, Rule ID: THIS_NNS[2]
Message: Did you mean 'this area' or 'those areas'?
Suggestion: this area; those areas
...ed by the author is actually staying in those area throughout the year. Perhaps, people ar...
^^^^^^^^^^
Line 7, column 432, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ern United States for several more years , people have started planning on moving ...
^^
Line 7, column 491, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ted planning on moving to warmer regions , thus decreasing the consumption of oils...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
actually, first, however, if, lastly, second, secondly, so, then, thus, in conclusion, first of all
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 22.0 19.6327345309 112% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 13.0 12.9520958084 100% => OK
Conjunction : 4.0 11.1786427146 36% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 25.0 28.8173652695 87% => OK
Preposition: 55.0 55.5748502994 99% => OK
Nominalization: 17.0 16.3942115768 104% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2089.0 2260.96107784 92% => OK
No of words: 406.0 441.139720559 92% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.14532019704 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.48881294772 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.68817804139 2.78398813304 97% => OK
Unique words: 206.0 204.123752495 101% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.507389162562 0.468620217663 108% => OK
syllable_count: 633.6 705.55239521 90% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 3.0 8.76447105788 34% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 2.70958083832 221% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 17.0 19.7664670659 86% => OK
Sentence length: 23.0 22.8473053892 101% => OK
Sentence length SD: 53.2574214657 57.8364921388 92% => OK
Chars per sentence: 122.882352941 119.503703932 103% => OK
Words per sentence: 23.8823529412 23.324526521 102% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.82352941176 5.70786347227 102% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 5.0 5.25449101796 95% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.20758483034 110% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 4.0 4.67664670659 86% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.218347899521 0.218282227539 100% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0753500362975 0.0743258471296 101% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0574642859497 0.0701772020484 82% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.124826855802 0.128457276422 97% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0403066470972 0.0628817314937 64% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 14.8 14.3799401198 103% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 48.13 48.3550499002 100% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 12.3 12.197005988 101% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.89 12.5979740519 102% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.51 8.32208582834 102% => OK
difficult_words: 96.0 98.500998004 97% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.2 11.1389221557 101% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 83.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 5.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 247, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...imate forecasters at Waymarsh University that the cold weather patterns will cont...
^^
Line 3, column 607, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'authors'' or 'author's'?
Suggestion: authors'; author's
...the above argument comes true, then the authors suggestion will hold no water. Secon...
^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 134, Rule ID: THIS_NNS[2]
Message: Did you mean 'this area' or 'those areas'?
Suggestion: this area; those areas
...ed by the author is actually staying in those area throughout the year. Perhaps, people ar...
^^^^^^^^^^
Line 7, column 432, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ern United States for several more years , people have started planning on moving ...
^^
Line 7, column 491, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ted planning on moving to warmer regions , thus decreasing the consumption of oils...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
actually, first, however, if, lastly, second, secondly, so, then, thus, in conclusion, first of all
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 22.0 19.6327345309 112% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 13.0 12.9520958084 100% => OK
Conjunction : 4.0 11.1786427146 36% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 25.0 28.8173652695 87% => OK
Preposition: 55.0 55.5748502994 99% => OK
Nominalization: 17.0 16.3942115768 104% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2089.0 2260.96107784 92% => OK
No of words: 406.0 441.139720559 92% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.14532019704 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.48881294772 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.68817804139 2.78398813304 97% => OK
Unique words: 206.0 204.123752495 101% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.507389162562 0.468620217663 108% => OK
syllable_count: 633.6 705.55239521 90% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 3.0 8.76447105788 34% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 2.70958083832 221% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 17.0 19.7664670659 86% => OK
Sentence length: 23.0 22.8473053892 101% => OK
Sentence length SD: 53.2574214657 57.8364921388 92% => OK
Chars per sentence: 122.882352941 119.503703932 103% => OK
Words per sentence: 23.8823529412 23.324526521 102% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.82352941176 5.70786347227 102% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 5.0 5.25449101796 95% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.20758483034 110% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 4.0 4.67664670659 86% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.218347899521 0.218282227539 100% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0753500362975 0.0743258471296 101% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0574642859497 0.0701772020484 82% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.124826855802 0.128457276422 97% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0403066470972 0.0628817314937 64% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 14.8 14.3799401198 103% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 48.13 48.3550499002 100% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 12.3 12.197005988 101% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.89 12.5979740519 102% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.51 8.32208582834 102% => OK
difficult_words: 96.0 98.500998004 97% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.2 11.1389221557 101% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 83.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 5.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.