The following recommendation appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of Hopewell.
"Two years ago, the nearby town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. Therefore, the best way to improve Hopewell's economy — and generate additional tax revenues — is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
The mayor has made two major assumptions while making the above argument. If these assumptions turn out to be incorrect, the claim becomes tenuous at best. Thus, their validity needs to be warranted for, before taking any action.
It has been assumed that tourism and new businesses increased because of the construction of a golf course and resort hotel. Here, there is a high chance that correlation is being misinterpreted as causality. It is completely possible that Ocean View always had high potential for being a tourist place, in terms of scenic beauty. Thus, the provision of luxurious services like resorts only helped in realizing this potential. This method will not bear similar results for places which may not naturally be tourist attractions. Indeed, if Hopewell is a bland place with nothing to draw tourists, there will be no significant boost to the local tourism industry. Similarly, it is highly likely that the Ocean View government started giving subsidies (in terms of cheap labour, land, resources or mining permits) to new businesses, which is the factor that motivated them to set up operations in that town. Thus, the inauguration of resorts/golf courses could be useless in boosting the economy at Hopewell unless the same subsidies are being given. The best way to go about would be to check for all the factors that led the tourism/business to prosper. Contacting the tourists and businessmen through surveys would be a feasible way to achieve this.
Hopewell’s current state has been totally unwarranted for. It might be the case that this town’s tourism industry is already flourishing at its apogee, and a large number of businesses are already operating in the town, with no extra resources available to support new ones. There may also be many golf courses and resorts already functioning. If any of these possibilities were to be true, the setting up of any more similar facilities would not be much of a boost to the economy. Hence, before coming to any definite conclusions, the current economical state of Hopewell needs to be analysed, with proper monitoring of its resources and potential. Only the untapped ones can yield any results.
Thus, the argument needs a lot of assumptions to be true, for it to hold any weight. A careful study of the validity of these arguments needs to be made through a combination of surveys and analysis. Otherwise, the proposed action may prove to be deleterious for the economy.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-17 | Vrushabh Bidari | 59 | view |
| 2023-04-19 | suhit | 60 | view |
| 2023-03-25 | Pranav Lohote | 68 | view |
| 2022-07-07 | aashrith1903 | 50 | view |
| 2022-07-07 | aashrith1903 | 60 | view |
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 22 15
No. of Words: 410 350
No. of Characters: 1996 1500
No. of Different Words: 211 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.5 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.868 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.681 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 142 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 113 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 71 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 50 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 18.636 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.188 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.591 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.263 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.437 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.052 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 4 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 156, Rule ID: LARGE_NUMBER_OF[1]
Message: Specify a number, remove phrase, or simply use 'many' or 'numerous'
Suggestion: many; numerous
... already flourishing at its apogee, and a large number of businesses are already operating in the...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, hence, if, may, similarly, so, thus, well, while
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 30.0 19.6327345309 153% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 11.0 12.9520958084 85% => OK
Conjunction : 8.0 11.1786427146 72% => OK
Relative clauses : 10.0 13.6137724551 73% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 24.0 28.8173652695 83% => OK
Preposition: 57.0 55.5748502994 103% => OK
Nominalization: 7.0 16.3942115768 43% => More nominalizations (nouns with a suffix like: tion ment ence ance) wanted.
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2054.0 2260.96107784 91% => OK
No of words: 408.0 441.139720559 92% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.03431372549 5.12650576532 98% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.49433085973 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.84394427356 2.78398813304 102% => OK
Unique words: 220.0 204.123752495 108% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.539215686275 0.468620217663 115% => OK
syllable_count: 646.2 705.55239521 92% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 10.0 8.76447105788 114% => OK
Subordination: 5.0 2.70958083832 185% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 5.0 4.22255489022 118% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 22.0 19.7664670659 111% => OK
Sentence length: 18.0 22.8473053892 79% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 47.4156929074 57.8364921388 82% => OK
Chars per sentence: 93.3636363636 119.503703932 78% => OK
Words per sentence: 18.5454545455 23.324526521 80% => OK
Discourse Markers: 2.45454545455 5.70786347227 43% => More transition words/phrases wanted.
Paragraphs: 4.0 5.15768463074 78% => More paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 1.0 5.25449101796 19% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 12.0 8.20758483034 146% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 6.0 4.67664670659 128% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.135006038928 0.218282227539 62% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.042240386803 0.0743258471296 57% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0570243584634 0.0701772020484 81% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0707929457028 0.128457276422 55% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0580004453721 0.0628817314937 92% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 11.5 14.3799401198 80% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 53.21 48.3550499002 110% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.3 12.197005988 84% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.89 12.5979740519 94% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.52 8.32208582834 102% => OK
difficult_words: 103.0 98.500998004 105% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 7.0 12.3882235529 57% => Linsear_write_formula is low.
gunning_fog: 9.2 11.1389221557 83% => OK
text_standard: 9.0 11.9071856287 76% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.