The following appeared as a letter to the editor from a Central Plaza store owner.
"Over the past two years, the number of shoppers in Central Plaza has been steadily decreasing while the popularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically. Many Central Plaza store owners believe that the decrease in their business is due to the number of skateboard users in the plaza. There has also been a dramatic increase in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. Thus, we recommend that the city prohibit skateboarding in Central Plaza. If skateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The author of the statement above advocates the prohibition of the skateboarding in Central Plaza. The recommendation is based on a premise that there is a negative link between skateboarders coming to Plaza and the shoppers. Furthermore, there is an increased vandalism which again the author imputes to skateboarders. Therefore, in order for Central plaza to have more shoppers the author made that recommendation. The argument needs to be provided with answers to certain vital questions to be clear.
First, the owner of the Central Plaza store needs to ask whether any relation exists between the increasing of the skateboarders and declining of the costumers; are shoppers feel unsafe being in the same place with the skateboard users? May be not. It is possible that most of the customers are fans of skateboarding and not only they are not afraid of them, they like to see people skateboarding in the Plaza. Furthermore, if the shoppers consist of those who are skateboard users, the ban would worsen the loss of costumers. If this is the case, conversely, attracting more skateboarders might augment the sales.
Secondly, it should be evinced directly that who are responsible for the vandalism and then wrongdoers should be punished accordingly. Even if the vandals are among skateboards, the author should ask whether a ban would make the situation better or worse. In all likelihood all of the skateboarders are not vandals. By prohibiting all skateboards indiscriminately, the unfair prohibition might encourage more skateboards to become vandals to respond the ban negatively. Elimination of vandalism, which is one of the main pillars of the argument, might not be taken place merely by the use of law force. If the force of law was powerful, in the first place it would dissuade individuals from vandalism as an obvious outlaw.
Finally, the author needs evidence showing whether there is any alternative explanation why the customers are on a decline. It is possible that fewer people are coming to the Plaza because of a financial crisis in the country. It is possible that another marketplace is drawing most of the Central Plaza costumers to itself as a competitor. It is also possible that even the population is decreased in the marketing area of the Central Plaza that fewer people are coming to the plaza. If these are the case, the rise in the skateboarding is only a coincidence and with or without prohibition of the skateboarding in the plaza, the customer trend may not be changed.
In the final analysis I found this argument replete with ambiguous points. The lack of enumerated evidences renders the argument open to different explanations. Therefore, the conclusion which is based on such an inconclusive argument cannot be tenable.
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Comments
I have argued the author
I have argued the author conclusion in the final argument.I think I should go for the change of the topic sentence for the final argument. However, I do not understand why the first argument is not right.
Already Thanks for answering my questions and being patient .
Your argument 3 is for
Your argument 3 is for argument 1. The argument 1 is something wrong.
Need to argue against the conclusion in argument 3:
'If skateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels.'
No guarantee that the business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels even if the skateboarding is banned.
argument 1 -- not really. Need to argue against the conclusion: 'If skateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels'
argument 2 -- OK
argument 3 -- OK
Attribute Value Ideal
Score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 24 15
No. of Words: 453 350
No. of Characters: 2266 1500
No. of Different Words: 200 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.613 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.002 4.6
Word Length SD: 3.004 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 154 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 127 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 92 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 68 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 18.875 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.552 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.542 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.285 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.498 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.079 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5