The following appeared in a letter from the owner of the Sunnyside Towers apartment complex to its manager.
"One month ago, all the showerheads in the first three buildings of the Sunnyside Towers complex were modified to restrict maximum water flow to one-third of what it used to be. Although actual readings of water usage before and after the adjustment are not yet available, the change will obviously result in a considerable savings for Sunnyside Corporation, since the corporation must pay for water each month. Except for a few complaints about low water pressure, no problems with showers have been reported since the adjustment. I predict that modifying showerheads to restrict water flow throughout all twelve buildings in the Sunnyside Towers complex will increase our profits even more dramatically."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
A letter from the owner of Sunnyside Towers apartment complex to its manager stated a recommendation according to which the owner thinks that modifying the showerheads in all twelve buildings in Sunnyside Towers complex will dramatically increase their profits. The owner states that showerheads in the first three towers of Sunnyside Towers complex have been modified a month ago to restrict water flow to one-third of what it used to be, owing to which, there will be less usage of water and the monthly payment for water will also reduce. Therefore, the owner thinks that modifying the showerheads of all twelve towers will eventually be a success. The owner has based his assumptions a few evidences that also hint towards alternate possibilities that can undermine the owner's final recommendation.
Firstly, the owner of Sunnyside Towers complex has stated that actual readings of water usage before and after the adjustment are not yet available. So then how can the owner be certain that water consumption has truly reduced? What if the low amount of water output has led to residents spending more time under the shower? This would mean that the amount of water being consumed is equivalent to before the modification was made. If such a situation holds true, the owner's prediction about increase in profits would be greatly undermined.
Secondly, if we assume that the water consumption has truly reduced, what assurance can the owner provide that the new showerheads work properly over an extended period of time? The owner has suggested that there were few complaints regarding the shower. Hence, it could be possible that when the modified showers are implemented at all twelve towers of Sunnyside Towers complex, the number of complaints against the new modification start increasing. The dis-satisfaction among the residents of Sunnyside Towers complex could compel the society owner to revert to the previous configuration of showerheads, thereby refuting the owner's claim about increased profits.
Lastly, the owner suggests that it has been only a month since the new showerheads have been implemented. A period of one month is too short a time span to make conclusive decisions. What if the first month is showing promising results regarding water consumed, or the money being paid by the corporation for the water consumed? What if the residents of Sunnyside Towers complex forget to close water taps when not in use? Showerheads are not the only culprit of water wastage, other appliances can also contribute to the wastage of water. In subsequent months, it could be possible that the money being paid monthly has not reduced even after modifying every showerhead in Sunnyside Towers complex. Such a case would again prove the owner's prediction false.
In sum, the owner's prediction is based upon assumptions that are erroneous and dubious. There are several alternate instances that can occur due to which it cannot be categorically stated if the owner's prediction will hold true.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 22 15
No. of Words: 486 350
No. of Characters: 2482 1500
No. of Different Words: 214 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.695 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.107 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.739 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 172 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 132 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 91 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 73 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 22.091 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.239 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.682 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.366 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.536 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.126 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 475, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...o be, owing to which, there will be less usage of water and the monthly payment f...
^^
Line 3, column 469, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'owners'' or 'owner's'?
Suggestion: owners'; owner's
...de. If such a situation holds true, the owners prediction about increase in profits wo...
^^^^^^
Line 5, column 163, Rule ID: PERIOD_OF_TIME[1]
Message: Use simply 'period'.
Suggestion: period
...werheads work properly over an extended period of time? The owner has suggested that there wer...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 7, column 735, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'owners'' or 'owner's'?
Suggestion: owners'; owner's
...plex. Such a case would again prove the owners prediction false. In sum, the owners...
^^^^^^
Line 9, column 13, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'owners'' or 'owner's'?
Suggestion: owners'; owner's
...owners prediction false. In sum, the owners prediction is based upon assumptions th...
^^^^^^
Line 9, column 196, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'owners'' or 'owner's'?
Suggestion: owners'; owner's
...t cannot be categorically stated if the owners prediction will hold true.
^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, firstly, hence, if, lastly, regarding, second, secondly, so, then, therefore, third
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 25.0 19.6327345309 127% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 17.0 12.9520958084 131% => OK
Conjunction : 5.0 11.1786427146 45% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 21.0 13.6137724551 154% => OK
Pronoun: 26.0 28.8173652695 90% => OK
Preposition: 57.0 55.5748502994 103% => OK
Nominalization: 18.0 16.3942115768 110% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2529.0 2260.96107784 112% => OK
No of words: 486.0 441.139720559 110% => OK
Chars per words: 5.2037037037 5.12650576532 102% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.69525374022 4.56307096286 103% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.79212041747 2.78398813304 100% => OK
Unique words: 222.0 204.123752495 109% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.456790123457 0.468620217663 97% => OK
syllable_count: 787.5 705.55239521 112% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 12.0 8.76447105788 137% => OK
Subordination: 2.0 2.70958083832 74% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 22.0 19.7664670659 111% => OK
Sentence length: 22.0 22.8473053892 96% => OK
Sentence length SD: 58.3699373546 57.8364921388 101% => OK
Chars per sentence: 114.954545455 119.503703932 96% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.0909090909 23.324526521 95% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.59090909091 5.70786347227 80% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 6.0 5.25449101796 114% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 6.88822355289 102% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.67664670659 150% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.434688146394 0.218282227539 199% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.123781089124 0.0743258471296 167% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.118310297705 0.0701772020484 169% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.238003411775 0.128457276422 185% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.158305775771 0.0628817314937 252% => More connections among paragraphs wanted.
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 14.1 14.3799401198 98% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 49.15 48.3550499002 102% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.9 12.197005988 98% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.88 12.5979740519 102% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.11 8.32208582834 97% => OK
difficult_words: 104.0 98.500998004 106% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 17.5 12.3882235529 141% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.8 11.1389221557 97% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.