The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The author of argument claims that the housing prices of Maple County will increase significantly if the proposed measure that is preventing the development of farmland is implemented. While this may seem logical at first glance, it rests upon some unwarranted assumptions that need further analysis.
First, the increase in prices of housing depends on various factors that include the availability of the farmland. For example, if the demand for new houses in Maple County is decreases due to various reasons then restrictions may not necessarily lead to increase in prices. If the people are not willing to buy because of lack of necessity, financial problems etc.. Then this claim may not hold true.
Secondly, the advocates of this measure extrapolate it by comparing it with a similar measure which was implemented in a different country that is chestnut which was ten years ago. This is a very vague basis. For example, the price of the land may vary significantly from one area to another. Chestnut county would have not had high demand or may not have been economically developed thus the price of the land may not have been increased. In contrast, Maple County may have a large population and may be economically rich which makes it highly susceptible for spike in the housing rates.
Another major point is the time difference. The financial background of people ten years back may not be same as now. The willingness of people to buy houses may have changed. Prices of land could have been appreciated or depreciated. We simply do not know thus these points can significantly weaken the argument.
The argument of the opposition giving example of Pine County can be similarly attacked. Pine County maybe located in a geographically in a different area which may not have any similarity with maple county. They might differ in population, financial status, the necessity of people to buy the house. For example in pine county the demands must have been high, thus prices must have increased according to law of supply and demand. This may not hold true for Maple County. Also, the restriction was adopted fifteen years ago, and people's needs, land prices may change altogether.
The individual price of the houses also plays an important role. For example, the prices of pine county may be ten thousand dollars and it may have increased to 21000 dollars but Maple county may start off with 100000 dollars and if restrictions cause a similar increase in dollar amount it will account for only 20%. Thus comparison is not really feasible.
While the author's argument is entirely not invalid, if aforementioned points were considered, it would have helped him/her to strengthen the claims which would have made the argument more likely to be valid.
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Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 4, column 365, Rule ID: DOUBLE_PUNCTUATION
Message: Two consecutive dots
Suggestion: .
...ack of necessity, financial problems etc.. Then this claim may not hold true. Sec...
^^
Line 8, column 319, Rule ID: SENT_START_CONJUNCTIVE_LINKING_ADVERB_COMMA[1]
Message: Did you forget a comma after a conjunctive/linking adverb?
Suggestion: Thus,
...ar amount it will account for only 20%. Thus comparison is not really feasible. W...
^^^^
Line 10, column 11, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'authors'' or 'author's'?
Suggestion: authors'; author's
...on is not really feasible. While the authors argument is entirely not invalid, if af...
^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, if, may, really, second, secondly, similarly, so, then, thus, while, for example, in contrast
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 22.0 19.6327345309 112% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 28.0 12.9520958084 216% => Less auxiliary verb wanted.
Conjunction : 8.0 11.1786427146 72% => OK
Relative clauses : 10.0 13.6137724551 73% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 22.0 28.8173652695 76% => OK
Preposition: 49.0 55.5748502994 88% => OK
Nominalization: 11.0 16.3942115768 67% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2311.0 2260.96107784 102% => OK
No of words: 460.0 441.139720559 104% => OK
Chars per words: 5.02391304348 5.12650576532 98% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.6311565067 4.56307096286 101% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.72621090489 2.78398813304 98% => OK
Unique words: 219.0 204.123752495 107% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.476086956522 0.468620217663 102% => OK
syllable_count: 721.8 705.55239521 102% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Interrogative: 0.0 0.471057884232 0% => OK
Article: 11.0 8.76447105788 126% => OK
Subordination: 5.0 2.70958083832 185% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 26.0 19.7664670659 132% => OK
Sentence length: 17.0 22.8473053892 74% => OK
Sentence length SD: 56.8297181403 57.8364921388 98% => OK
Chars per sentence: 88.8846153846 119.503703932 74% => OK
Words per sentence: 17.6923076923 23.324526521 76% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.26923076923 5.70786347227 75% => OK
Paragraphs: 7.0 5.15768463074 136% => Less paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 10.0 6.88822355289 145% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 8.0 4.67664670659 171% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.0978367232148 0.218282227539 45% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0309974780523 0.0743258471296 42% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0449055436934 0.0701772020484 64% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0573367159262 0.128457276422 45% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0391876322218 0.0628817314937 62% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 11.1 14.3799401198 77% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 54.22 48.3550499002 112% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 9.9 12.197005988 81% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.54 12.5979740519 92% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.02 8.32208582834 96% => OK
difficult_words: 103.0 98.500998004 105% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.5 12.3882235529 93% => OK
gunning_fog: 8.8 11.1389221557 79% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Maximum six paragraphs wanted.
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6 -- The score is based on the average performance of 20,000 argument essays. This e-grader is not smart enough to check on arguments.
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.