The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"The population on Balmer Island increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island plans to limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island's six moped rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season. Last year, the neighboring island of Torseau enforced similar limits on moped rentals and saw a 50 percent reduction in moped accidents. We predict that putting these limits into effect on Balmer Island will result in the same reduction in moped accidents."
Write a response in which you discuss one or more alternative explanations that could rival the proposed explanation and explain how your explanation(s) can plausibly account for the facts presented in the argument.
The author of the letter states that in reponse to the increase in the population of the Balmer Island during summer months, there should be limits on the number of mopeds that each company on the island puts for rentals.
This argument can not be fulley accepted as it is rifes with unstated assumptions, which if proen untrue could break apart the argument easily.
For starters, the author assumes that the poplation increase during the months of summer the popluation of the island increases. He does not give information about what causes the rise in number of people during those specific months. It could be possible that the population increase on the Balmer Island is a result of increase in tousrims due to these particular months. Maybe the climate of the Island could be ideal for tourists to flock in these months. Many tourists like to divulge into a local experience and wish to travel locally. If a ban on the number of mopeds that can be rented is sanctioned, the tourist economy would face a huge loss.
Moreover, the author compares the decision to implement the change in number of mopeds by comparing it with the limits put on by the government of a neighbouring island of Torseau. There is no evidence to prove that there is any correlation between the increase in the populations of the two islands. Infact, the author simply assumes that just because the island of Torseau experienced a decrease in the number of accidents involving mopeds, the same result will be seen as in the case of Balmer Islands.
Thirdly, it could also be possible that the decrease in number of accidents involving mopeds in Torseau could be factors supplementing the limits on number of mopeds that can be rented. The factors could involve amlieorating the conditions of roads on the island so that it becomes safer for travelling. It could also mean the quality of mopeds that are been manufactured has improved significantly. The reason for prohibiting rentals above a certain number could be because it would take time for companies to improve the quality of all mopeds and till then they can only rent out mopeds that they have altered already. After a sufficient number of mopeds have been altered the limits would be alleviated.
Conclusively, it would not be wise to impose limits on the number of mopeds that can be rented on Balmer Island owing to the letter recieved by the editor of Balmer island Gazette. This is because a number of assumptions that are not stated are taken to be true by the author. If the government decides to ahead with the suggestion provided by the author without putting a lot of thought, it could result into undesirable consequences.
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Comments
Essay evaluation report
argument 1 -- not OK
argument 2 -- OK
argument 3 -- not exactly
----------------
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.0 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 460 350
No. of Characters: 2179 1500
No. of Different Words: 196 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.631 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.737 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.545 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 180 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 99 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 62 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 37 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 24.211 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.082 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.421 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.355 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.558 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.106 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 90, Rule ID: IF_IS[2]
Message: Did you mean 'is'?
Suggestion: is
... rifes with unstated assumptions, which if proen untrue could break apart the argu...
^^
Line 6, column 353, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
... author simply assumes that just because the island of Torseau experienced a decr...
^^
Line 8, column 274, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...itions of roads on the island so that it becomes safer for travelling. It could a...
^^
Line 8, column 623, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “After” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
... mopeds that they have altered already. After a sufficient number of mopeds have been...
^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, if, may, moreover, so, then, third, thirdly
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 25.0 19.6327345309 127% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 20.0 12.9520958084 154% => OK
Conjunction : 2.0 11.1786427146 18% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 15.0 13.6137724551 110% => OK
Pronoun: 31.0 28.8173652695 108% => OK
Preposition: 79.0 55.5748502994 142% => OK
Nominalization: 14.0 16.3942115768 85% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2226.0 2260.96107784 98% => OK
No of words: 460.0 441.139720559 104% => OK
Chars per words: 4.83913043478 5.12650576532 94% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.6311565067 4.56307096286 101% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.62910135085 2.78398813304 94% => OK
Unique words: 197.0 204.123752495 97% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.428260869565 0.468620217663 91% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 702.0 705.55239521 99% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 8.0 4.96107784431 161% => OK
Article: 8.0 8.76447105788 91% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 24.0 22.8473053892 105% => OK
Sentence length SD: 45.6062881411 57.8364921388 79% => OK
Chars per sentence: 117.157894737 119.503703932 98% => OK
Words per sentence: 24.2105263158 23.324526521 104% => OK
Discourse Markers: 2.57894736842 5.70786347227 45% => More transition words/phrases wanted.
Paragraphs: 6.0 5.15768463074 116% => OK
Language errors: 4.0 5.25449101796 76% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 13.0 8.20758483034 158% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 6.0 6.88822355289 87% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 0.0 4.67664670659 0% => More facts, knowledge or examples wanted.
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.283703237585 0.218282227539 130% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.10166754229 0.0743258471296 137% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0959576140583 0.0701772020484 137% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.178903585356 0.128457276422 139% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.107086605835 0.0628817314937 170% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.5 14.3799401198 94% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 55.58 48.3550499002 115% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.5 12.197005988 94% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.09 12.5979740519 88% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.05 8.32208582834 97% => OK
difficult_words: 94.0 98.500998004 95% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 13.0 12.3882235529 105% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.6 11.1389221557 104% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.