Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic regions. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of the year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the purported decline in deer populations is the result of the deer's being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The prompt suggests that, there has been a decline in the deer populations near the Arctic region. This evidence provided to support the argument is that, due to global warning, the sea ice has melted resulting in the deer’s being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea. However, before this argument is properly evaluated, the author must provide answers to the following three questions.
To begin, is global warming the sole reason for decline of deer populations? The ‘local hunters’ do not seem like a credible source to comment on the declining deer populations. As they themselves hunt deers, it might be possible that the decline in populations was caused by excessive hunting. As the arctic region battles harsh climate, the handful of people living in those regions have to hunt for their survival. Deers provide an excellent source of meat and nutrition and are a part of the local’s dietary intake. Thus, it might have been the case that, due to particularly harsh climate there was no other food source available and most families had resorted to hunting of deers.
Moreover, global warming is not a new phenomenon. Global warming has been consistently happening since the last 3 to 4 decades due to various factors. But that does not mean that the entire sea ice has melted. There might still be enough ice so as to facilitate the migration of deers during the winter season. So, it is highly likely that until now the deers have adapted to the changes in their environment. They would have found other sources of food or would have changed their migratory patterns by now according to the changes in their habitats. Although global warming might have had an effect, without further scientific evidence regarding exact migratory patterns, it is difficult to comment on the matter.
Furthermore, there is a chance that some diseases might have spread to the deers causing the decline in population. No evidence was given about the health of the deer population. There is also a possibility that the ratio of male and female deers was disturbed (perhaps due to unwarranted hunting) and this has resulted in decline in population as the number of mating chances reduced. So, less number of deer calfs were born over a certain period of time.
In conclusion, the argument as it stands now, is considerably flawed due to its reliance on several unwarranted assumptions. If the author is able to answer the above mentioned questions and provide concrete evidence (perhaps in the form of a research study) rather than relying on ‘local hunters’, then it would be possible to fully evaluate the argument about the correlation between global warming and decline in deer populations.
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| 2023-07-17 | okazaki11 | 72 | view |
| 2022-06-19 | Soumyadip Kar | 53 | view |
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 3 2
No. of Sentences: 22 15
No. of Words: 454 350
No. of Characters: 2214 1500
No. of Different Words: 227 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.616 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.877 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.53 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 174 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 124 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 72 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 43 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.636 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.173 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.545 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.29 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.501 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.072 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 242, Rule ID: SO_AS_TO[1]
Message: Use simply 'to'
Suggestion: to
...melted. There might still be enough ice so as to facilitate the migration of deers durin...
^^^^^^^^
Line 3, column 292, Rule ID: THE_FALL_SEASON[1]
Message: Use simply 'winter'.
Suggestion: winter
...acilitate the migration of deers during the winter season. So, it is highly likely that until now...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 4, column 439, Rule ID: PERIOD_OF_TIME[1]
Message: Use simply 'period'.
Suggestion: period
... of deer calfs were born over a certain period of time. In conclusion, the argument as it sta...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, furthermore, however, if, moreover, regarding, so, still, then, thus, as to, in conclusion
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 23.0 19.6327345309 117% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 9.0 12.9520958084 69% => OK
Conjunction : 9.0 11.1786427146 81% => OK
Relative clauses : 9.0 13.6137724551 66% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 28.0 28.8173652695 97% => OK
Preposition: 65.0 55.5748502994 117% => OK
Nominalization: 19.0 16.3942115768 116% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2279.0 2260.96107784 101% => OK
No of words: 454.0 441.139720559 103% => OK
Chars per words: 5.01982378855 5.12650576532 98% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.61598047577 4.56307096286 101% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.65613652278 2.78398813304 95% => OK
Unique words: 231.0 204.123752495 113% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.508810572687 0.468620217663 109% => OK
syllable_count: 705.6 705.55239521 100% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 6.0 8.76447105788 68% => OK
Subordination: 5.0 2.70958083832 185% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 4.0 4.22255489022 95% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 22.0 19.7664670659 111% => OK
Sentence length: 20.0 22.8473053892 88% => OK
Sentence length SD: 57.9343636874 57.8364921388 100% => OK
Chars per sentence: 103.590909091 119.503703932 87% => OK
Words per sentence: 20.6363636364 23.324526521 88% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.59090909091 5.70786347227 80% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 6.0 8.20758483034 73% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 10.0 6.88822355289 145% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 6.0 4.67664670659 128% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.139172553889 0.218282227539 64% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0445503788028 0.0743258471296 60% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0382555187991 0.0701772020484 55% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.07441467546 0.128457276422 58% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.037474439909 0.0628817314937 60% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.5 14.3799401198 87% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 51.18 48.3550499002 106% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.1 12.197005988 91% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.84 12.5979740519 94% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.45 8.32208582834 102% => OK
difficult_words: 110.0 98.500998004 112% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.0 11.1389221557 90% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 83.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 5.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.