The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The editor of the Balmer Island Gazette received a letter where the recommendation was made for the reduction in the number of moped rentals per day in an attempt to reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians. The town council came to this conclusion based on the issues faced on the neighboring island of Seaville. However, before deciding whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted results, the following questions must be answered.
First of all, is the dimensionality of the roads in Balmer and Seaville comparable? In other words, can we say that the width of the road for mopeds and pedestrians is similar on both the islands? Maybe the roads on Seaville would be much narrower making it difficult for mopeds to circumvent the pedestrians walking on the road. Thus, the result of more accidents in Seaville. It could be that the width of the road is sufficient in Balmer to accommodate the walking pedestrians and the mopeds thereby not causing any accidents. The council is coming to the presumptuous conclusion that roads on both the islands are very similar. If the above scenario does hold true, the argument in the original conclusion is significantly weekend.
Secondly, an island where mopeds serve as a popular mode of transportation, wouldn’t have more mopeds on the road than pedestrians? Being a popular mode of transportation, people are more likely to choose mopeds due to the ease of travel especially in the months of summer to avoid the painstaking heat. Further, as the town council is recommending the reduction in the number of mopeds from 50 to 25 per day, this could have an adverse effect with more pedestrians and thereby increasing the risks of more accidents. Also, due to the lesser availability of mopeds during the summer, complaints could arise from people due to the intense heat. If the above does hold true, then the argument does not hold water.
Lastly, are the places in the Balmer Island within a walking distance? The reason for mopeds being a popular mode of transportation could be because the places within the island are much disjointed and thereby people do not choose to walk. The council has assumed that just like the island of Seaville, Balmer also has everything within walking distance. It could be that people in Seaville use the mopeds only while travelling for a longer distance and that longer driving under the heat could cause lack of judgement and cause more accidents. But this situation might not arise in Balmer Island. If the above scenario does hold true, then the argument has to be considered again.
In conclusion, the argument as it stands now is considerably flawed due to its reliance on the several unwarranted assumptions. If the council is able to answer the above questions and offer more evidence (perhaps in the form of a systematic study), then it will be possible to fully decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result of a smaller number of accidents on Balmer island.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 23 15
No. of Words: 509 350
No. of Characters: 2457 1500
No. of Different Words: 201 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.75 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.827 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.735 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 185 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 116 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 79 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 55 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 22.13 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.91 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.652 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.312 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.505 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.068 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 728, Rule ID: BEEN_PART_AGREEMENT[2]
Message: Consider using a past participle here: 'weekended'.
Suggestion: weekended
...he original conclusion is significantly weekend. Secondly, an island where mopeds se...
^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, however, if, lastly, may, second, secondly, so, then, thus, while, as to, in conclusion, first of all, in other words
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 24.0 19.6327345309 122% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 11.0 12.9520958084 85% => OK
Conjunction : 10.0 11.1786427146 89% => OK
Relative clauses : 8.0 13.6137724551 59% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 16.0 28.8173652695 56% => OK
Preposition: 77.0 55.5748502994 139% => OK
Nominalization: 19.0 16.3942115768 116% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2520.0 2260.96107784 111% => OK
No of words: 508.0 441.139720559 115% => OK
Chars per words: 4.96062992126 5.12650576532 97% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.74751043592 4.56307096286 104% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.81837247121 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 211.0 204.123752495 103% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.415354330709 0.468620217663 89% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 787.5 705.55239521 112% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 3.0 4.96107784431 60% => OK
Article: 10.0 8.76447105788 114% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 2.70958083832 221% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 23.0 19.7664670659 116% => OK
Sentence length: 22.0 22.8473053892 96% => OK
Sentence length SD: 56.4695411149 57.8364921388 98% => OK
Chars per sentence: 109.565217391 119.503703932 92% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.0869565217 23.324526521 95% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.86956521739 5.70786347227 103% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 1.0 5.25449101796 19% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 8.0 6.88822355289 116% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.67664670659 150% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.286262707624 0.218282227539 131% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.084705319501 0.0743258471296 114% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0806525475074 0.0701772020484 115% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.16634293945 0.128457276422 129% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0644347270665 0.0628817314937 102% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.0 14.3799401198 90% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 49.15 48.3550499002 102% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.9 12.197005988 98% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.49 12.5979740519 91% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.9 8.32208582834 95% => OK
difficult_words: 102.0 98.500998004 104% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.8 11.1389221557 97% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.